# Kristiansund vs Viking > Eliteserien · Kickoff Sun 24 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/1065) **Status:** Finished **Final score:** Kristiansund 1–2 Viking ## Model verdict - **Kristiansund win:** 10% - **Draw:** 12% - **Viking win:** 77% - **Source:** model ## Pre-match deep dive ### Viking overwhelming favourites as Kristiansund face uphill task ## The stage This Eliteserien fixture kicks off on Sun 24 May 2026 at 16:00 UTC, a mid-afternoon slot that frames a clear mismatch on paper[^fact-1]. The model gives a decisive probability split heavily in favour of the visitors, assigning just 10% to a home win, 12% to a draw and 77% to an away victory — a verdict carried with high internal confidence and a 65-percentage-point gap to the runner-up[^fact-2]. ## Form & momentum Recent form lines underline a gulf. Kristiansund arrive with a WLLDD sequence across their last ten matches, recorded as 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, producing 1.10 points per game while averaging 1.00 goal scored and 1.60 conceded per match[^fact-4]. Viking's run is starkly different: a WWWWW sequence shown as 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat across ten, yielding 2.70 points per game with 3.20 goals scored and just 1.00 conceded per match[^fact-5]. The Elo differential — already adjusted for home advantage — favours Viking by 260 points, quantitatively reinforcing the model's heavy lean to the away side[^fact-3]. ## Personnel Kristiansund's attacking hope in recent weeks has been L. Alvheim, who has netted 2 goals and supplied 0 assists in his last five appearances while averaging a 6.94 match rating[^fact-8]. The side will be missing N. Ødegård through injury; Ødegård has contributed 258 minutes in the recent run and is absent for selection[^fact-10]. Viking's standout contributor is Zlatko Tripic: 2 goals and 9 assists in his last five appearances, carrying an average rating of 8.46[^fact-9]. Viking will also be without Jakob Segadal Hansen through injury; Segadal Hansen accounted for 136 minutes in the recent run and is unavailable[^fact-11]. ## Where the model sees value Two market contrasts stand out when the model is pitted against bookmakers. First, the model prefers an outcome of no in Both Teams to Score at a 66% probability versus the market price of 2.50 offered by 888Sport, yielding an edge of 26.1 percentage points and flagged with high confidence[^fact-6]. Second, the model's primary match-winner call is Away, rated 77% probability against a market price of 1.44 at 10Bet, producing a 7.8 percentage-point edge with mid confidence[^fact-7]. These assessments come after comparing three separate markets against the model's projections[^fact-12]. ## Verdict The model's crystal is clear: Viking are heavy favourites to take the win, a position supported by an Elo gap of 260 points and a dominant recent run, while Kristiansund's modest scoring and the absence of Ødegård complicate home hopes[^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-4][^fact-10]. The analytics desk highlights two value differentials — favouring both a match with no goals for one side (No in Both Teams to Score) and an away match-winner — but treats the former as the stronger standalone signal given its larger edge and confidence rating[^fact-6][^fact-7]. ### Cited facts [^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sun 24 May 2026, 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien [^fact-2]: **Model verdict** — Home 10% / Draw 12% / Away 77% (source: model; confidence high, 65 pp gap to runner-up). [^fact-3]: **Elo edge** — Kristiansund vs Viking — Elo differential -260 points (with home advantage applied). [^fact-4]: **Kristiansund recent form** — WLLDD last 10: 3-2-5 (W-D-L), 1.10 PPG, 1.00 goals scored / 1.60 conceded per match. [^fact-5]: **Viking recent form** — WWWWW last 10: 9-0-1 (W-D-L), 2.70 PPG, 3.20 goals scored / 1.00 conceded per match. [^fact-6]: **Value pick #1** — No in Both Teams to Score — model 66% vs market price 2.50 at 888Sport, edge 26.1 pp (high confidence). [^fact-7]: **Value pick #2** — Away in Match Winner — model 77% vs market price 1.44 at 10Bet, edge 7.8 pp (mid confidence). [^fact-8]: **Kristiansund in-form player** — L. Alvheim — 2 goals, 0 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 6.94. [^fact-9]: **Viking in-form player** — Zlatko Tripic — 2 goals, 9 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 8.46. [^fact-10]: **Kristiansund key absence** — N. Ødegård out (injury), 258 minutes in recent run. [^fact-11]: **Viking key absence** — Jakob Segadal Hansen out (injury), 136 minutes in recent run. [^fact-12]: **Markets analysed** — 3 market(s) compared against the model. --- Methodology: . Canonical HTML: .