# Kristiansund vs Viking > Eliteserien · Kickoff Sun 24 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/1065) **Status:** Scheduled ## Model verdict - **Kristiansund win:** 10% - **Draw:** 12% - **Viking win:** 77% - **Source:** model ## Top published picks | Market | Selection | Best odds | Bookmaker | Model % | Edge | | --- | --- | ---: | --- | ---: | ---: | | btts | No | 2.50 | 888Sport | 66% | +26.1 pp | | h2h | Away | 1.44 | 10Bet | 77% | +7.8 pp | ## Pre-match deep dive ### Goliath away tilt — Viking overwhelming edge on paper ## The stage This is an Eliteserien fixture kicking off Sun 24 May 2026, 16:00 UTC[^fact-1]. The game sees the listed home side host Viking; model output already folds a home advantage into its comparative assessment[^fact-3]. The stakes are straightforward: a routine league meeting in which pre-match probabilities are heavily skewed toward the visitors[^fact-2]. ## Form & momentum Recent form lines draw a stark contrast. Kristiansund arrive with a ten-match ledger reading WLLDD and a condensed summary of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses (W-D-L), producing 1.10 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.60 per match[^fact-4]. Viking, by contrast, have an almost unbroken run: WWWWW in the last ten that the model encodes as 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss (W-D-L), producing 2.70 points per game with 3.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded on average[^fact-5]. The raw numbers translate to a heavy statistical gap: the model applies an Elo differential of negative 260 points against the home side (with home advantage applied), a margin that normally implies a large quality gap in expectancy terms[^fact-3]. That gap is mirrored in the model verdict: Home 10%, Draw 12%, Away 77% — the model’s confidence is sizeable, noting a 65 percentage-point gap to the runner-up outcome[^fact-2]. ## Personnel Kristiansund’s most in-form attacking contributor in the recent run is L. Alvheim, who has 2 goals and 0 assists across his last five appearances and an average rating of 6.94 in that span[^fact-8]. Their most significant listed absence is N. Ødegård, sidelined with injury after contributing 258 minutes in the recent run[^fact-10]. Viking’s form fulcrum is Zlatko Tripic, who arrives with 2 goals and 9 assists in his last five appearances and an average rating of 8.46 across those matches[^fact-9]. Viking will also be without Jakob Segadal Hansen through injury; he contributed 136 minutes in the recent run before his absence[^fact-11]. Those personnel notes underline where threat and fragility are concentrated: Viking possess the more prolific creative outlet and sustainable output in recent matches, while Kristiansund are missing a named player who featured minutes in the build-up to this fixture[^fact-9][^fact-10][^fact-11]. ## Where the model sees value Two market inefficiencies stand out when comparing the model to available prices across three markets analysed[^fact-12]. - No in Both Teams to Score: the model assigns a 66% probability to no both teams scoring, while the market price shown at 888Sport is 2.50, implying a substantially lower market probability; the model records an edge of 26.1 percentage points on this selection (high confidence)[^fact-6]. - Away Match Winner: the model gives the away outcome a 77% probability, while the market price of 1.44 at 10Bet implies a materially smaller market probability; the model’s stated edge on the away winner is 7.8 percentage points (mid confidence)[^fact-7]. Both value lines are consistent with the underlying signals: a heavy Elo disadvantage for the home side, Viking’s prolific scoring and superior points-per-game, and the model’s strong lean toward an away win[^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-2]. The markets compared against the model total three distinct offerings in this analysis[^fact-12]. ## Verdict The model delivers a clear and forceful lean: an away win is the dominant outcome at 77%, supported by a -260 Elo gap and Viking’s superior recent output; the model also highlights a significant probability that one side — most plausibly the visiting side — keeps the game to a one-sided scoreline, reflected in the No BTTS projection[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-6]. ### Cited facts [^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sun 24 May 2026, 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien [^fact-2]: **Model verdict** — Home 10% / Draw 12% / Away 77% (source: model; confidence high, 65 pp gap to runner-up). [^fact-3]: **Elo edge** — Kristiansund vs Viking — Elo differential -260 points (with home advantage applied). [^fact-4]: **Kristiansund recent form** — WLLDD last 10: 3-2-5 (W-D-L), 1.10 PPG, 1.00 goals scored / 1.60 conceded per match. [^fact-5]: **Viking recent form** — WWWWW last 10: 9-0-1 (W-D-L), 2.70 PPG, 3.20 goals scored / 1.00 conceded per match. [^fact-6]: **Value pick #1** — No in Both Teams to Score — model 66% vs market price 2.50 at 888Sport, edge 26.1 pp (high confidence). [^fact-7]: **Value pick #2** — Away in Match Winner — model 77% vs market price 1.44 at 10Bet, edge 7.8 pp (mid confidence). [^fact-8]: **Kristiansund in-form player** — L. Alvheim — 2 goals, 0 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 6.94. [^fact-9]: **Viking in-form player** — Zlatko Tripic — 2 goals, 9 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 8.46. [^fact-10]: **Kristiansund key absence** — N. Ødegård out (injury), 258 minutes in recent run. [^fact-11]: **Viking key absence** — Jakob Segadal Hansen out (injury), 136 minutes in recent run. [^fact-12]: **Markets analysed** — 3 market(s) compared against the model. --- Methodology: . Canonical HTML: .