# Ajax vs Olympiacos F.C. > Club Friendlies 1 · Kickoff Sat 18 Jul 2026, 13:30 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/37265) **Status:** Scheduled ## Pre-match deep dive ### Fitness and forward form tilt this friendly in Ajax’s favour ## The stage Club Friendlies 1 offers a low-stakes but telling midday exercise for both teams: kickoff is scheduled for Sat 18 Jul 2026 at 13:30 UTC, a single fixture that will function as a blunt instrument to test fitness, rotation and attacking rhythm ahead of competitive campaigns[^fact-1]. ## Form & momentum Ajax arrive with a patchwork sequence: DWLWD in their last 10 matches, a run that translates to 1.50 points per game and 1.40 goals scored against 1.00 conceded per match[^fact-2]. Those figures sketch a side that still creates more than it allows but is not running rampant — an attacking baseline combined with an intermittently brittle defence[^fact-2]. Olympiacos’ recent metrics are not provided in the supplied facts, so direct comparative statements about their form cannot be made without introducing outside data. ## Personnel The in-form spotlight on Ajax belongs to Jorthy Mokio, who has one goal and no assists in his last three appearances and carries an average match rating of 7.05 across that short sample[^fact-3]. That profile suggests a player contributing decisively in the final third while delivering reliable individual performances in recent outings[^fact-3]. The biggest practical absence for Ajax is Josip Sutalo, ruled out with injury after contributing 450 minutes in the recent run; that loss removes a specific chunk of recent playing time from the defensive rotation[^fact-4]. Olympiacos will also be missing a named contributor: Yusuf Yazıcı is out injured, a subtraction that will alter their attacking profiles for this friendly[^fact-5]. No additional information on replacement personnel, tactical reshuffles or transfer arrivals has been supplied, so evaluation stops at the effect of the confirmed absences and the form snapshot above. ## Where the model sees value Betsprinter’s quantitative desk focuses on three pragmatic edges for a friendly of this type, framed by the supplied facts rather than speculation. First, Ajax’s attacking output of 1.40 goals per match in the recent sample suggests the team should be expected to generate chances and shots on target in this fixture; that stat supports markets that reward a proactive Ajax attack rather than pure defensive conservatism[^fact-2]. Second, Josip Sutalo’s absence removes 450 minutes of recent defensive continuity, an objective blunt indicator that Ajax’s back line is less settled than in the matches that produced the provided metrics; this creates an edge in markets that price marginal defensive instability (for example, first-half goals or both teams to score) given the team still averages 1.40 goals scored[^fact-4][^fact-2]. Third, Jorthy Mokio’s form—one goal and a 7.05 average rating in the last three appearances—flags him as a plausible focal point for Ajax’s offensive phases and an isolated value target for anytime-scorer or shot-based markets[^fact-3]. Because the supplied facts do not include market odds or specific prices, no numeric odds can be quoted here; the desk therefore frames value strictly as directional edges grounded in the provided numbers rather than recommended prices to back[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-4][^fact-5]. The absence of Yusuf Yazıcı from Olympiacos further nudges those directional edges: removing a named attacking option tilts the risk-reward balance toward Ajax producing chances, but the lack of Olympiacos’ broader form data prevents a quantified adjustment to that tilt[^fact-5]. ## Verdict Betsprinter’s model leans toward expecting an open friendly in which Ajax’s recent attacking baseline (1.40 goals per match) and the presence of Jorthy Mokio combine with the defensive void left by Josip Sutalo’s absence (450 minutes gone from the recent run) to create reasonable directional value toward Ajax-led attacking markets; the explicit effect of Yusuf Yazıcı’s absence for Olympiacos is acknowledged but cannot be numerically integrated without further data[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-4][^fact-5][^fact-1]. ### Cited facts [^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sat 18 Jul 2026, 13:30 UTC — Club Friendlies 1 [^fact-2]: **AJA recent form** — DWLWD last 10: 4-3-3 (W-D-L), 1.50 PPG, 1.40 goals scored / 1.00 conceded per match. [^fact-3]: **AJA in-form player** — Jorthy Mokio — 1 goals, 0 assists in last 3 appearances, avg rating 7.05. [^fact-4]: **AJA key absence** — Josip Sutalo out (injury), 450 minutes in recent run. [^fact-5]: **OLY key absence** — Yusuf Yazıcı out (injury). --- Methodology: . Canonical HTML: .