# York City vs Crawley Town > Carabao Cup · Kickoff Mon 3 Aug 2026, 18:30 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/37344) **Status:** Scheduled ## Pre-match deep dive ### Momentum and Fragility Collide on Early Carabao Cup Night ## The stage This Carabao Cup tie kicks off on Mon 3 Aug 2026 at 18:30 UTC[^fact-1]. Competition context beyond the round and the kick-off time is not supplied in the facts; venue details are not provided and will not be asserted here. ## Form & momentum York City arrive with markedly better recent returns: their sequence reads LWWLW over the last set of matches and the 10-match summary is 6-1-3 (W-D-L), producing 1.90 points per game and an attacking/defensive split of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match[^fact-2]. Crawley Town, by contrast, carry a troubled run shown as LLLLW in the immediate sequence and 2-0-8 (W-D-L) over the last 10, generating 0.60 points per game with 1.50 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per match[^fact-3]. The numbers draw a clear momentum line: York have the superior points rate and a cleaner defensive profile in the supplied data[^fact-2][^fact-3]. Crawley’s form line suggests strain at both ends of the pitch in the sampled results, with goals conceded notably higher than York’s concession figure in the same window[^fact-2][^fact-3]. ## Personnel York’s attacking interest is concentrated on Lenell John-Lewis, who has two goals from his last two appearances and an average rating of 7.04 in that window[^fact-4]. Crawley’s most productive contributor in the recent sample is Jack Roles, with two goals and one assist across his last three outings and an average rating of 7.22[^fact-5]. No facts about specific absences, suspensions or other squad unavailabilities are included in the supplied data, so any claim about "heaviest absences" cannot be made here. ## Where the model sees value Market odds are not supplied in the facts, so commentary anchors to comparative strengths and weaknesses visible in the raw form figures rather than a direct pricing arbitrage. From that vantage: - York’s superior points-per-game (1.90) and lower goals-against rate (1.00) stand out as the clearest statistical edge in the supplied window[^fact-2]. That edge suggests a tilt toward controlling games and limiting opponent opportunities, at least in the recent sample. - Crawley’s recent record and higher goals conceded (2.80) open a specific vulnerability that York’s finishing presence — led by Lenell John-Lewis’s two-goal burst in his last two outings — is well placed to exploit, according to the supplied attacking and defensive aggregates[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-4]. - Crawley’s creative and goalscoring spark is embodied by Jack Roles, who combines goal returns and an assist across three appearances and a slightly higher average rating than York’s in-form forward in the supplied figures; that element keeps Crawley dangerous despite poorer team results[^fact-4][^fact-5]. Because the facts do not include market pricing, injuries, team sheets or situational context such as venue details, the clearest quantitative edges are strictly those visible in recent form and individual output in the supplied data[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-4][^fact-5]. ## Verdict The balance of supplied numbers favours the side with the better recent results and cleaner defensive numbers: York’s point rate and goals-against profile give them the statistically superior platform in the provided sample, while Crawley retain a clear individual threat in Jack Roles that prevents the tie from being one-dimensional[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-5]. ### Cited facts [^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Mon 3 Aug 2026, 18:30 UTC — Carabao Cup [^fact-2]: **YOR recent form** — LWWLW last 10: 6-1-3 (W-D-L), 1.90 PPG, 1.70 goals scored / 1.00 conceded per match. [^fact-3]: **CRT recent form** — LLLLW last 10: 2-0-8 (W-D-L), 0.60 PPG, 1.50 goals scored / 2.80 conceded per match. [^fact-4]: **YOR in-form player** — Lenell John-Lewis — 2 goals, 0 assists in last 2 appearances, avg rating 7.04. [^fact-5]: **CRT in-form player** — Jack Roles — 2 goals, 1 assists in last 3 appearances, avg rating 7.22. --- Methodology: . Canonical HTML: .