# Radomiak Radom vs Górnik Zabrze > Ekstraklasa · Kickoff Sat 8 Aug 2026, 12:45 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/37382) **Status:** Scheduled ## Pre-match deep dive ### Górnik’s defensive edge and Khlan’s hot streak shape the contest ## The stage Kickoff is scheduled for Sat 8 Aug 2026, 12:45 UTC in the Ekstraklasa[^fact-1]. This fixture presents a mid-summer measuring stick: a team with fragile defensive returns hosts a side enjoying a run of wins and low concessions[^fact-2][^fact-3]. ## Form & momentum Recent form separates the sides. Radomiak Radom arrive with a WLLDW sequence in their last 10 outings, recorded as 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, delivering 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.30 goals and conceding 1.70 per match in that span[^fact-2]. By contrast, Górnik Zabrze bring a WWWDL sequence in their last 10, recorded as 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, generating 2.10 points per game, scoring 1.60 goals and conceding just 0.70 per match[^fact-3]. The contrast is stark: Górnik are both more productive in attack and substantially tighter at the back over the recent sample[^fact-3][^fact-2]. ## Personnel Radomiak’s most in-form contributor in recent weeks is Jan Grzesik, who has 2 goals and 1 assist across his last five appearances and carries an average match rating of 6.86 in that run[^fact-4]. For Górnik, offensive momentum is concentrated around Maksym Khlan, who has 3 goals and 1 assist in his last five appearances with an average rating of 7.38 for that period[^fact-5]. On absences, Górnik will be without Jaroslaw Kubicki through injury after he logged 487 minutes in the recent run—his unavailability removes a reliably used piece from their minutes tally[^fact-6]. Those personnel notes point to two fast-moving attackers able to influence the outcome and to a midfield loss for Górnik that may alter rotation or balance[^fact-4][^fact-5][^fact-6]. ## Where the model sees value — top edges vs the market, with odds - Defensive baseline: Górnik concede 0.70 goals per match in the recent sample compared with Radomiak’s 1.70 conceded per match[^fact-3][^fact-2]. That discrepancy suggests an edge on outcomes that favour low concession lines for Górnik and relative defensive superiority when the two teams are pitched directly against each other[^fact-3][^fact-2]. - Attacking returns: Górnik’s forward output sits at 1.60 goals per match against Radomiak’s 1.30 in the same recent window, hinting that the visitors carry a modest scoring edge rather than an overwhelming gulf[^fact-3][^fact-2]. The model prefers value in markets that reflect a narrow scoring advantage rather than blowout expectations given both teams still average more than one goal between them per match[^fact-3][^fact-2]. - Player-level tilts: Maksym Khlan’s recent 3 goals and 1 assist in five games, with a 7.38 average rating, marks him as the principal finishing threat in this fixture[^fact-5]. Jan Grzesik’s 2 goals and 1 assist and 6.86 average rating make him Radomiak’s standout recent performer and a likely outlet from set plays or late surges[^fact-4]. The clearest micro-edge is to markets that separate finishing by these individuals rather than blanket team tallies[^fact-5][^fact-4]. - Midfield disruption caveat: Jaroslaw Kubicki’s absence after 487 minutes in the run reduces Górnik’s available midfield minutes and could shift workload onto nearby options; that consideration reduces the margin of confidence the model assigns to a clean-sheet expectation solely based on Górnik’s low concession rate[^fact-6][^fact-3]. Note: numerical market odds were not supplied in the facts provided; the edges above are therefore expressed in relative, data-driven terms derived from the supplied recent samples and player metrics[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-4][^fact-5][^fact-6]. ## Verdict The quantitative picture is unambiguous: Górnik Zabrze arrive with superior recent form, a higher points-per-game return and a much lower goals-against rate[^fact-3][^fact-2]. Personnel shapes the match narrative too — Maksym Khlan’s sharp streak provides the finishing edge while Jaroslaw Kubicki’s absence is the main uncertainty for Górnik[^fact-5][^fact-6]. On balance, the model leans to the side that combines defensive steadiness with an in-form finisher, with caveats around how Górnik replace Kubicki’s minutes and how Radomiak deploys Jan Grzesik[^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-6][^fact-4]. ### Cited facts [^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sat 8 Aug 2026, 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa [^fact-2]: **Radomiak Radom recent form** — WLLDW last 10: 4-2-4 (W-D-L), 1.40 PPG, 1.30 goals scored / 1.70 conceded per match. [^fact-3]: **GZA recent form** — WWWDL last 10: 6-3-1 (W-D-L), 2.10 PPG, 1.60 goals scored / 0.70 conceded per match. [^fact-4]: **Radomiak Radom in-form player** — Jan Grzesik — 2 goals, 1 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 6.86. [^fact-5]: **GZA in-form player** — Maksym Khlan — 3 goals, 1 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 7.38. [^fact-6]: **GZA key absence** — Jaroslaw Kubicki out (injury), 487 minutes in recent run. --- Methodology: . Canonical HTML: .