# Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Randers FC

> Superliga · Kickoff Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/38346)

**Status:** Scheduled

## Pre-match deep dive

### Struggling hosts seek defensive recovery against steadier visitors

## The stage

Kickoff is set for Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC, a Superliga fixture that functions less as a title clash and more as a form test for both sides[^fact-1]. The fixture offers an early-season checkpoint: one team trying to stop a slide, the other attempting to build on a patch of better results[^fact-2][^fact-3].

## Form & momentum

Sønderjyske arrive on a clearly negative curve: their last 10 show a DLLLL sequence and a 1-2-7 record (W-D-L), translating to 0.50 points per game and an output of 1.00 goals scored while conceding 2.30 per match[^fact-2]. That combination — low points-per-game and a high goals-against rate — defines a side under defensive pressure and struggling to convert chances[^fact-2].

Randers have not been flawless but present a steadier baseline. Their last 10 read LWWLL and a 3-2-5 record, worth 1.10 points per game with 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per match[^fact-3]. Those figures point to a team better able to keep games closer and manufacture returns more reliably than Sønderjyske over the recent sample[^fact-3].

Between the two, the momentum edge sits with Randers when judged strictly by points-per-game and goal metrics across the provided window[^fact-2][^fact-3]. The contrast is starkest in goals conceded: 2.30 for Sønderjyske versus 1.70 for Randers, a diagnostic of where the match is likeliest to be won or lost[^fact-2][^fact-3].

## Personnel

Sønderjyske’s recent in-form mention is Maxime Soulas, who has provided 0 goals and 1 assist in his last 3 appearances and carries an average rating of 6.95 over that span[^fact-4]. That is a modest attacking return and suggests Soulas is contributing more in build or balance than in finishing[^fact-4]. The heaviest absence for Sønderjyske is Daníel Leó Grétarsson, sidelined through injury after 500 minutes in the recent run — a loss that removes a player with significant minutes in the sample and therefore affects match-ride continuity[^fact-6].

Randers counter with Mike Themsen as their named in-form player: 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 3 appearances and an average rating of 7.30, the clearest direct attacking influence highlighted in the facts[^fact-5]. Their principal absence is Wessel Dammers, out injured after 630 minutes in the recent run; losing a figure who logged that many minutes will alter defensive availability and rotation options for Randers[^fact-7].

Personnel headlines therefore shape the match as a duel of disrupted defenses. Sønderjyske’s conceded goals profile and the loss of Grétarsson point to structural vulnerability at the back[^fact-2][^fact-6]. Randers, while missing Dammers, enter with the slightly healthier recent attacking return via Themsen and an overall steadier defensive numbers line in the sample[^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-7].

## Where the model sees value

The quantitative edge in the supplied data leans to Randers when comparing points-per-game and goals metrics: 1.10 PPG for Randers against 0.50 PPG for Sønderjyske, and 1.70 goals conceded per match for Randers versus 2.30 for Sønderjyske[^fact-2][^fact-3]. Those are the primary model drivers — consistency in results and a cleaner defensive ledger across the recent sample[^fact-2][^fact-3].

On personnel, the model notes two opposing forces: Randers’ attacking plus from Mike Themsen (1 goal, 1 assist, avg 7.30) versus the disruption caused by the absences of Daníel Leó Grétarsson for Sønderjyske (500 recent minutes) and Wessel Dammers for Randers (630 recent minutes)[^fact-5][^fact-6][^fact-7]. The model therefore treats Randers as slightly less exposed defensively in the aggregate data but flags localized volatility given both teams’ listed absences[^fact-3][^fact-6][^fact-7].

No market odds were supplied in the facts, so the model frames edges qualitatively: favoring outcomes that reflect Randers’ superior recent averages while adjusting for the disruption of available minutes on both sides[^fact-2][^fact-3][^fact-6][^fact-7]. Expect the model to overweight defensive solidity and recent scoring efficiency — metrics where Randers score better in the supplied sample — and to discount single-player form lines unless corroborated by minutes data (as with Themsen and the listed absentees)[^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-6][^fact-7].

## Verdict

The model’s lean: Randers carry the cleaner recent profile and the more reliable returns across the provided sample, while Sønderjyske’s elevated goals-against rate and the absence of Daníel Leó Grétarsson elevate the home side’s defensive risk in this fixture[^fact-3][^fact-2][^fact-6].

### Cited facts

[^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sun 20 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC — Superliga
[^fact-2]: **SON recent form** — DLLLL last 10: 1-2-7 (W-D-L), 0.50 PPG, 1.00 goals scored / 2.30 conceded per match.
[^fact-3]: **RDF recent form** — LWWLL last 10: 3-2-5 (W-D-L), 1.10 PPG, 1.10 goals scored / 1.70 conceded per match.
[^fact-4]: **SON in-form player** — Maxime Soulas — 0 goals, 1 assists in last 3 appearances, avg rating 6.95.
[^fact-5]: **RDF in-form player** — Mike Themsen — 1 goals, 1 assists in last 3 appearances, avg rating 7.30.
[^fact-6]: **SON key absence** — Daníel Leó Grétarsson  out (injury), 500 minutes in recent run.
[^fact-7]: **RDF key absence** — Wessel Dammers out (injury), 630 minutes in recent run.

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Methodology: <https://betsprinter.com/methodology>. Canonical HTML: <https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/38346>.
