# Eyüpspor vs Rizespor > Super Lig · Kickoff Sat 9 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/712) **Status:** Finished **Final score:** Eyüpspor 4–0 Rizespor ## Pre-match deep dive ### Momentum versus disruption: which side will carry the night ## The stage Saturday evening brings a fixture that matters for both momentum and squad management, kicking off Sat 9 May 2026 at 17:00 UTC in the Super Lig[^fact-1]. The timing makes this a late-weekend bellwether for both clubs' short-term trajectories. ## Form & momentum Formlines draw a clear contrast. One side has scraped together just three wins, two draws and five defeats from its last 10 outings, averaging 1.10 points per game and scoring only 0.80 goals while conceding 1.00 per match[^fact-2]. The other arrives significantly hotter: six wins, one draw and three defeats in its last 10, averaging 1.90 points per game and producing 1.80 goals while allowing 1.10 per match[^fact-3]. That difference in output — both in points per game and goals scored — is the clearest single indicator of who carries momentum into kickoff[^fact-2][^fact-3]. ## Personnel Both teams bring distinct player narratives that will shape how this plays out. On one side, Umut Bozok has been the primary in-form threat, contributing one goal and two assists across his last four appearances and carrying an average match rating of 7.52 in that run[^fact-4]. His recent end-product and ratings profile mark him as the most reliable direct outlet in attack[^fact-4]. On the other side, Qazim Laci is on a notable purple patch: three goals and three assists in his last five appearances, with an average rating of 7.88 — a level of influence that suggests he is driving the better side’s recent uptick in results[^fact-5]. That combination of goal involvement and high ratings makes him the clearest individual match-winner in this matchup[^fact-5]. Absences complicate both sides’ game-plans. One team will miss Ángel Torres through suspension after he accumulated 440 minutes in the recent run, a loss that removes significant recent minutes from the squad picture[^fact-6]. The other will be without Modibo Sagnan due to injury; Sagnan logged 702 minutes in the same recent period and his absence subtracts a heavy-minute defensive option from selection decisions[^fact-7]. Those missing minutes are tangible proxies for how disrupted each backline or midfield balance might be when the whistle blows[^fact-6][^fact-7]. ## Where the model sees value The model’s edges are driven entirely by the recent data: the side with a 1.90 points-per-game profile and 1.80 goals scored over the last 10 looks systematically better placed than the side averaging 1.10 PPG and 0.80 goals[^fact-3][^fact-2]. The first edge is simple — back the hotter attacking profile as the baseline expectation, and expect that player-led creativity from the 3 goals + 3 assists form run will matter[^fact-5]. A secondary edge derives from the suspension-versus-injury dynamic: losing Ángel Torres’s 440 recent minutes likely dents the struggling side’s cohesion in the areas where those minutes were concentrated, while the opponent’s defensive loss of Modibo Sagnan and his 702 minutes may re-route where the stronger side looks to create chances[^fact-6][^fact-7]. The model flags market mispricings where the market underweights the combination of superior recent goal output and the presence of a high-impact creator in form[^fact-3][^fact-5]. Because the model is strictly data-driven, it treats the two absences asymmetrically: the suspension removes continuity from the lower-output side’s recent minutes, while the injury to the higher-output side forces tactical adjustments but does not erase the run of goal contributions already logged[^fact-6][^fact-7][^fact-5]. That nuance is where the model sees most exploitable distance from broad-stroke market lines — not in long-shot outcomes but in how match momentum and key individuals influence game states. ## Verdict The data runway favors the form team: higher points per game, nearly double the goals scored per match in the recent sample, and a clear on-form creator with three goals and three assists in five games[^fact-3][^fact-5]. The opposing side’s lower scoring, lower points return and the suspension that erases 440 minutes of recent continuity are the main counterpoints[^fact-2][^fact-6]. Expect the contest to be decided by the team carrying superior attacking momentum and the availability of its in-form playmaker[^fact-3][^fact-5]. ### Cited facts [^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sat 9 May 2026, 17:00 UTC — Super Lig [^fact-2]: **Eyüpspor recent form** — DWWLL last 10: 3-2-5 (W-D-L), 1.10 PPG, 0.80 goals scored / 1.00 conceded per match. [^fact-3]: **Rizespor recent form** — WLDWW last 10: 6-1-3 (W-D-L), 1.90 PPG, 1.80 goals scored / 1.10 conceded per match. [^fact-4]: **Eyüpspor in-form player** — Umut Bozok — 1 goals, 2 assists in last 4 appearances, avg rating 7.52. [^fact-5]: **Rizespor in-form player** — Qazim Laci — 3 goals, 3 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 7.88. [^fact-6]: **Eyüpspor key absence** — Ángel Torres out (suspension), 440 minutes in recent run. [^fact-7]: **Rizespor key absence** — Modibo Sagnan out (injury), 702 minutes in recent run. --- Methodology: . Canonical HTML: .