# Gençlerbirliği vs Kasımpaşa > Super Lig · Kickoff Sat 9 May 2026, 17:00 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/714) **Status:** Finished **Final score:** Gençlerbirliği 3–2 Kasımpaşa ## Pre-match deep dive ### Struggling hosts face clearer attacking edge from visitors ## The stage This Super Lig fixture kicks off on Sat 9 May 2026 at 17:00 UTC[^fact-1]. The game presents contrasting trajectories rather than a neutral midweek reset: one side fighting for momentum, the other trying to arrest a slide[^fact-1]. The venue is not supplied in the available facts; focus accordingly stays on on-field form and personnel[^fact-1]. ## Form & momentum Form charts show a pronounced gap. Gençlerbirliği arrive with a sequence labelled LWLLL across their last 10 outings, producing a 1-2-7 W-D-L split, 0.50 points per game and an average of 0.20 goals scored while conceding 1.20 per match[^fact-2]. That profile reads as a team short of attacking firepower and leaking goals at a rate that undermines confidence[^fact-2]. Kasımpaşa’s recent run is materially healthier: DLWDW in the last 10, a 3-4-3 W-D-L split, 1.30 points per game and scoring 1.10 while conceding 1.50 per match[^fact-3]. The visitors’ points-per-game and their better balance between goals scored and conceded suggest clearer match control and an ability to grind results[^fact-3]. When momentum is distilled to the supplied numbers, Kasımpaşa carry the edge on form and output[^fact-3]. ## Personnel Gençlerbirliği’s most notable in-form name in the supplied data is Adama Traoré, who has recorded 0 goals and 1 assist in his last five appearances while averaging a 6.70 rating[^fact-4]. That output underlines the scarcity of direct end-product from their attacking focal points[^fact-4]. The side will also be missing Thalisson through injury; he logged 810 minutes in the recent run and his absence removes a significant chunk of playing time from the rotation[^fact-6]. That 810-minute context matters when assessing how the squad must reorganise in his absence[^fact-6]. Kasımpaşa’s working offensive threat in the supplied facts is Adrian Benedyczak: 3 goals in his last five appearances with an average rating of 6.82[^fact-5]. His recent finishing form is the clearest individual advantage available in the data[^fact-5]. The visitors will be without Haris Hajradinovic due to suspension, a removal that must be accounted for when judging midfield structure and creativity in the supplied facts[^fact-7]. ## Where the model sees value The model built from the supplied dataset isolates three pragmatic edges that do not rely on external odds (no market prices are supplied in the facts). First, a low-scoring expectation for Gençlerbirliği: their 0.20 goals-per-match figure across the recent run flags a realistic ceiling on attacking output unless personnel or tactical shifts not present in the facts alter that trajectory[^fact-2]. Second, Kasımpaşa’s slightly superior points-per-game (1.30 v 0.50) and the presence of a striker with three goals in five (Adrian Benedyczak) point to the visitor as the more likely side to carry goal threat into match situations[^fact-3][^fact-5]. Third, personnel absences swing the shapes: Gençlerbirliği lose 810 minutes-worth of continuity with Thalisson out, while Kasımpaşa lose Hajradinovic to suspension — the former is a measurable minutes hit in the supplied data; the latter is a binary disciplinary removal[^fact-6][^fact-7]. Because no market odds are available in the facts, those edges are expressed as directional convictions rather than price-dependent calls. The clearest data-driven advantages are Kasımpaşa’s form and attacking rhythm around Benedyczak, plus Gençlerbirliği’s pronounced drop in goals scored by the supplied metric[^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-2]. ## Verdict The model-lean from the supplied facts is straightforward: Kasımpaşa arrive with superior recent form and an active goalscorer in Benedyczak, while Gençlerbirliği’s season-to-date attacking numbers and the loss of Thalisson represent clear headwinds — a visitor-lean based solely on the provided metrics[^fact-3][^fact-5][^fact-2][^fact-6]. ### Cited facts [^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sat 9 May 2026, 17:00 UTC — Super Lig [^fact-2]: **GSK recent form** — LWLLL last 10: 1-2-7 (W-D-L), 0.50 PPG, 0.20 goals scored / 1.20 conceded per match. [^fact-3]: **Kasımpaşa recent form** — DLWDW last 10: 3-4-3 (W-D-L), 1.30 PPG, 1.10 goals scored / 1.50 conceded per match. [^fact-4]: **GSK in-form player** — Adama Traoré — 0 goals, 1 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 6.70. [^fact-5]: **Kasımpaşa in-form player** — Adrian Benedyczak — 3 goals, 0 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 6.82. [^fact-6]: **GSK key absence** — Thalisson out (injury), 810 minutes in recent run. [^fact-7]: **Kasımpaşa key absence** — Haris Hajradinovic out (suspension). --- Methodology: . Canonical HTML: .