# Feyenoord vs AZ

> Eredivisie · Kickoff Sun 10 May 2026, 14:45 UTC · [Canonical HTML](https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/768)

**Status:** Finished
**Final score:** Feyenoord 1–1 AZ

## Pre-match deep dive

### Key absences and form lines frame a tight late-season scrap

## The stage
Kickoff is Sun 10 May 2026 at 14:45 UTC in an Eredivisie fixture[^fact-1]. This is a league match whose immediate context must be read through the teams' season-long returns and short-term runs; no continental or cup detail is provided in the supplied facts, so the competitive frame rests on league data alone[^fact-1].

## Form & momentum
Feyenoord arrive with a sequence rendered as WWDDD over the last 10 matches and a 5-4-1 W‑D‑L split, producing 1.90 points per game and 1.50 goals scored against 1.10 conceded per match[^fact-2]. AZ’s last 10 read DDWWL with a 5-2-3 W‑D‑L split, generating 1.70 points per game and 1.70 goals scored against 1.10 conceded per match[^fact-3]. Those lines imply two different offensive flavours: Feyenoord scoring 1.50 per match while AZ sits at 1.70 per match, while both concede 1.10 per match in this sample[^fact-2][^fact-3]. Over ten games the marginal edges are small — Feyenoord a touch higher in points per game, AZ a touch higher in goals per game — which frames this as a close contest on recent metrics[^fact-2][^fact-3].

## Personnel
Feyenoord’s most noteworthy attacking influence in the recent run was Ayase Ueda, who recorded 3 goals and 0 assists across his last 5 appearances while carrying an average match rating of 7.13[^fact-4]. Critically for Feyenoord, that player is listed out injured and unavailable, after contributing 827 minutes in the recent run[^fact-6][^fact-4]. The absence removes a clear source of goals and a 7.13 average performer from Feyenoord’s forward group[^fact-4][^fact-6].

AZ’s in-form focal point is Sven Mijnans, who also produced 3 goals and 0 assists in his last 5 appearances with a higher average rating of 7.55[^fact-5]. AZ’s named absence is Jordy Clasie, who is out injured after 124 minutes in the recent run[^fact-7]. The contrast is stark on minutes: Feyenoord lose a high‑minute forward presence (827 minutes) while AZ’s listed absence accounts for only 124 minutes of recent involvement[^fact-6][^fact-7]. Those minute totals help explain which team will feel the personnel gap more acutely on match day[^fact-6][^fact-7].

## Where the model sees value
Market prices are not supplied among the facts, so value here is defined relative to the supplied performance metrics. The clearest structural edge comes from availability versus output: Feyenoord’s points-per-game advantage in the sample (1.90 PPG) is counterbalanced by the loss of their in‑form forward who accounted for 827 minutes and a 7.13 average rating[^fact-2][^fact-6][^fact-4]. AZ offers a higher recent goals-per-game figure (1.70) and retains its top recent performer in attacking form, Sven Mijnans, who carries a 7.55 average rating from his last 5 appearances and the same 3-goal return as Ueda in that window[^fact-3][^fact-5].

If the market understates the impact of Ueda’s absence relative to Feyenoord’s raw PPG number, that creates an edge favouring AZ when comparing expected attacking output against available personnel[^fact-2][^fact-6][^fact-3][^fact-5]. Conversely, if the market gives disproportionate weight to Feyenoord’s 1.90 PPG without adjusting for the missing 827 minutes of attacking influence, that is where a value claim can be made against Feyenoord’s quoted price[^fact-2][^fact-6].

No explicit odds are provided in the facts, so the recommendation is directional: look for market prices that fail to price the swing in on-field minutes and recent match ratings — specifically, markets that keep Feyenoord’s chance elevated purely from PPG while ignoring the loss of their 7.13-rated attacking outlet, or markets that overreact to AZ’s away/neutral context without crediting the retention of a 7.55-rated form player[^fact-2][^fact-6][^fact-4][^fact-5][^fact-3]. Those mismatches represent the primary edges implied by the supplied data.

## Verdict
This is a tightly balanced Eredivisie fixture on recent metrics, with Feyenoord marginally ahead on points per game but materially weakened by the loss of an 827‑minute attacking contributor[^fact-2][^fact-6]. AZ arrives with a slightly higher goals-per-game figure and its on‑run creator still available, which leans the analytical tilt toward AZ in the absence of market odds that properly adjust for minutes and recent match ratings[^fact-3][^fact-5].

### Cited facts

[^fact-1]: **Kickoff** — Sun 10 May 2026, 14:45 UTC — Eredivisie
[^fact-2]: **FEY recent form** — WWDDD last 10: 5-4-1 (W-D-L), 1.90 PPG, 1.50 goals scored / 1.10 conceded per match.
[^fact-3]: **AZ recent form** — DDWWL last 10: 5-2-3 (W-D-L), 1.70 PPG, 1.70 goals scored / 1.10 conceded per match.
[^fact-4]: **FEY in-form player** — Ayase Ueda — 3 goals, 0 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 7.13.
[^fact-5]: **AZ in-form player** — Sven Mijnans — 3 goals, 0 assists in last 5 appearances, avg rating 7.55.
[^fact-6]: **FEY key absence** — Ayase Ueda out (injury), 827 minutes in recent run.
[^fact-7]: **AZ key absence** — Jordy Clasie out (injury), 124 minutes in recent run.

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Methodology: <https://betsprinter.com/methodology>. Canonical HTML: <https://betsprinter.com/fixtures/768>.
