Expected goals

Aaron Connolly — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Aaron Connolly (Leyton Orient) across the last 5 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Aaron Connolly got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

1.01

vs 0 goals

xA

0.30

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.25

xA / 90

0.07

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
05 Decat Salford City9000.4100.20
03 Novat Tamworth9000.3100.10
05 Aprvs Portsmouth8200.140
29 Marat Sunderland9000.070
08 Marat Watford1500.090
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Aaron Connolly profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.