Expected goals

Curtis Nelson — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Curtis Nelson (Milton Keynes Dons) across the last 5 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Curtis Nelson got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.10

vs 0 goals

xA

0.20

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.02

xA / 90

0.05

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
06 Decvs Leicester City100.030
18 Janvs Watford9000.020
04 Janat Bristol City9000.020
01 Janat Sheffield Wednesday9000.0210.10
13 Decvs Portsmouth90000.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Curtis Nelson profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.