Expected goals

L. Armstrong — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for L. Armstrong (Carlisle United) across the last 5 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances L. Armstrong got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

2.14

vs 3 goals

xA

0.20

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.66

xA / 90

0.06

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
07 Decat Blackpool9010.320
18 Mayat Ross County7100.6700.20
14 Mayvs Kilmarnock4420.550
10 Mayat Hearts2200.090
29 Marat Aberdeen6300.500
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full L. Armstrong profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.