Expected goals

Mariano Díaz — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Mariano Díaz (Dominican Republic) across the last 6 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Mariano Díaz got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

2.54

vs 3 goals

xA

0.50

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.83

xA / 90

0.16

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
08 Marat Valencia600.150
02 Decat Portugalete6300.1300.10
22 Novvs Celta de Vigo900.030
08 Novat Girona46000.10
30 Octat Getxo7532.1710.20
24 Septat Getafe7800.0600.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Mariano Díaz profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.