Expected goals

Henrik Castegren — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Henrik Castegren (Sirius) across the last 6 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Henrik Castegren got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.70

vs 2 goals

xA

0.60

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.12

xA / 90

0.10

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
30 Mayat AIK9010.190
02 Mayvs Kalmar9000.0700.10
27 Aprat Häcken9000.0100.20
18 Aprvs Västerås SK9010.200
09 Novvs Värnamo90000.20
01 Novat Norrköping9000.2300.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Henrik Castegren profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.