Expected goals

Joe Ward — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Joe Ward (Derby County) across the last 8 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Joe Ward got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.55

vs 0 goals

xA

1.90

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.07

xA / 90

0.24

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
02 Mayvs Sheffield United9000.2000.40
25 Aprat Queens Park Rangers90010.50
21 Aprat Norwich City9000.0700.10
18 Aprvs Oxford United9000.0400.40
06 Aprvs Stoke City9000.0200.20
21 Marvs Birmingham City9000.1400.20
16 Marat Portsmouth9000.080
10 Marat Millwall9000.0100.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Joe Ward profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.