Expected goals

Carlton Morris — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Carlton Morris (Derby County) across the last 9 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Carlton Morris got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

3.38

vs 2 goals

xA

1.20

vs 2 assists

xG / 90

0.47

xA / 90

0.17

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
02 Mayvs Sheffield United9000.0600.20
25 Aprat Queens Park Rangers9000.270
21 Aprat Norwich City9000.0710.30
18 Aprvs Oxford United9000.1000.10
11 Aprat Southampton9011.4000.10
06 Aprvs Stoke City9011.1010.40
03 Aprat Coventry City65000.10
16 Marat Portsmouth1800.230
10 Marat Millwall3000.150
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Carlton Morris profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.