Expected goals

Ben Nelson — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Ben Nelson (Leicester City) across the last 4 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Ben Nelson got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.52

vs 1 goals

xA

0.20

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.17

xA / 90

0.06

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
21 Marat Watford1100.240
14 Marvs Queens Park Rangers90010.10
10 Marvs Bristol City9010.2000.10
21 Febat Stoke City9000.080
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Ben Nelson profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.