Expected goals

Hugo Moura — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Hugo Moura (Vasco da Gama) across the last 2 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Hugo Moura got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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