Expected goals
Joel Bagan — xG and xA
Underlying expected output for Joel Bagan (Cardiff City) across the last 4 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Joel Bagan got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.
xG
0.50
vs 0 goals
xA
0.90
vs 1 assists
xG / 90
0.13
xA / 90
0.23
| Date | Opponent | Min | G | xG | A | xA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | vs Chelsea | 90 | 0 | — | 0 | 0.30 |
| 28 Oct | at Wrexham | 82 | 0 | — | 1 | 0.30 |
| 23 Sept | at Burnley | 90 | 0 | — | 0 | 0.10 |
| 12 Aug | vs Swindon Town | 90 | 0 | 0.50 | 0 | 0.20 |