Expected goals

Rafael Nel — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Rafael Nel (Sporting CP) across the last 3 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Rafael Nel got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

2.19

vs 2 goals

xA

0.20

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

1.28

xA / 90

0.12

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
26 Aprat AVS5610.910
03 Aprvs Santa Clara9010.5110.20
22 Marat Alverca800.770
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Rafael Nel profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.