Expected goals

Justin Hoogma — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Justin Hoogma (Willem II) across the last 3 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Justin Hoogma got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.35

vs 1 goals

xA

0.30

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.17

xA / 90

0.15

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
11 Janvs Sparta Rotterdam4510.350
21 Septat NEC Nijmegen45000.10
28 Aprat PEC Zwolle90000.20
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Justin Hoogma profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.