Expected goals

Lucas João — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Lucas João (Nacional) across the last 6 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Lucas João got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.70

vs 0 goals

xA

0.40

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.40

xA / 90

0.23

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
02 Mayvs AVS1900.3600.10
21 Marat Famalicão9000.150
15 Marvs Estoril2700.0400.10
07 Marat Moreirense600.070
28 Febvs Sporting Braga100.0800.10
02 Janat Vitória Guimarães14010.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Lucas João profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.