Expected goals

Miguel Baeza — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Miguel Baeza (Nacional) across the last 8 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Miguel Baeza got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.91

vs 1 goals

xA

0.50

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.16

xA / 90

0.09

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
04 Aprvs Estrela Amadora4900.210
15 Marvs Estoril6300.0800.10
07 Marat Moreirense9010.3900.10
15 Febvs Porto4400.090
08 Febvs Casa Pia8900.0200.20
17 Janat Gil Vicente26000.10
11 Janvs Santa Clara7600.050
02 Janat Vitória Guimarães6000.070
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Miguel Baeza profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.