Expected goals

Lorenzo Lucca — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Lorenzo Lucca (Nottingham Forest) across the last 8 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Lorenzo Lucca got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

1.26

vs 1 goals

xA

0.20

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.69

xA / 90

0.11

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
10 Mayvs Newcastle United700.090
22 Febvs Liverpool13000.10
11 Febvs Wolverhampton Wanderers7100.590
06 Febat Leeds United3610.270
14 Janvs Parma100.030
07 Janvs Hellas Verona1400.040
14 Decat Udinese700.1500.10
22 Novvs Atalanta1600.090
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Lorenzo Lucca profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.