Expected goals

Rafael Leão — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Rafael Leão (Portugal) across the last 10 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Rafael Leão got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

Back to Rafael Leão

xG

2.26

vs 0 goals

xA

0.80

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.38

xA / 90

0.13

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
17 Junvs Congo DR19000.10
24 Mayvs Cagliari22000.30
10 Mayvs Atalanta5800.200
03 Mayat Sassuolo5900.100
26 Aprvs Juventus9000.0400.20
19 Aprat Hellas Verona63010.10
11 Aprvs Udinese7701.0700.10
06 Aprat Napoli800.130
15 Marat Lazio6700.450
08 Marvs Inter7300.270
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Rafael Leão profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.