Expected goals

Keito Nakamura — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Keito Nakamura (Japan) across the last 10 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Keito Nakamura got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

2.90

vs 4 goals

xA

0.96

vs 2 assists

xG / 90

0.30

xA / 90

0.10

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
21 Junat Tunisia7900.0410.10
14 Junat Netherlands9010.1500.10
10 Mayvs Saint-Étienne9000.2400.30
02 Mayat Nice9000.2400.10
27 Aprat Montpellier9000.7900.06
20 Aprvs Toulouse7900.0700.09
11 Aprat Lens9020.7400.01
06 Aprvs Strasbourg9000.2000.00
29 Marvs Olympique Marseille9010.2310.20
16 Marat Brest9000.2100.00
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Keito Nakamura profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.