Expected goals

Alan Varela — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Alan Varela (Porto) across the last 8 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Alan Varela got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

1.12

vs 0 goals

xA

0.60

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.15

xA / 90

0.08

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
16 Mayvs Santa Clara9000.0200.10
10 Mayat AVS6800.040
19 Aprvs Tondela9000.860
12 Aprat Estoril9000.080
22 Marat Sporting Braga6700.030
15 Marvs Moreirense9000.0400.30
08 Marat Benfica9000.0400.20
22 Febvs Rio Ave9000.020
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Alan Varela profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.