Expected goals

João Costa — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for João Costa (Santa Clara) across the last 4 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances João Costa got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.16

vs 0 goals

xA

0.30

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.34

xA / 90

0.63

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
03 Novat Gil Vicente100.070
25 Octvs AVS24010.20
17 Augvs Moreirense1700.100
17 Mayat Farense1000.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full João Costa profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.