Expected goals

Lucas Cepeda — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Lucas Cepeda (Elche) across the last 9 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Lucas Cepeda got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.89

vs 1 goals

xA

0.60

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.20

xA / 90

0.14

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
03 Mayat Celta de Vigo1300.030
22 Aprvs Atlético de Madrid2300.0200.10
11 Aprvs Valencia1810.3200.10
14 Marat Real Madrid6400.100
01 Marvs Espanyol7300.0700.20
20 Febat Athletic Club9000.020
13 Febvs Osasuna8000.2300.10
07 Febat Real Sociedad17000.10
31 Janvs FC Barcelona1500.110
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Lucas Cepeda profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.