Expected goals

Paulo Moreira — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Paulo Moreira (Estrela Amadora) across the last 4 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Paulo Moreira got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.66

vs 1 goals

xA

0.30

vs 1 assists

xG / 90

0.17

xA / 90

0.08

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
08 Marvs Gil Vicente9000.0110.10
28 Febat AVS9000.0600.10
20 Febvs Tondela9000.3700.10
14 Febat Vitória Guimarães9010.220
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Paulo Moreira profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.