Expected goals

Zak Sturge — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Zak Sturge (Millwall) across the last 8 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Zak Sturge got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.64

vs 0 goals

xA

0.50

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.09

xA / 90

0.07

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
08 Mayat Hull City8200.070
02 Mayvs Oxford United6100.2000.20
24 Aprat Leicester City8200.0300.10
18 Aprvs Queens Park Rangers9000.090
10 Aprat West Bromwich Albion7300.140
06 Aprvs Norwich City87000.10
03 Aprat Middlesbrough9000.110
21 Marat Ipswich Town90000.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Zak Sturge profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.