Expected goals
Lionel Messi — xG and xA
Underlying expected output for Lionel Messi (Inter Miami) across the last 10 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Lionel Messi got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.
xG
8.93
vs 12 goals
xA
3.30
vs 7 assists
xG / 90
0.92
xA / 90
0.34
| Date | Opponent | Min | G | xG | A | xA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | vs Austria | 90 | 2 | 2.13 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 17 Jun | vs Algeria | 80 | 3 | 0.59 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 24 May | vs Philadelphia Union | 73 | 0 | 0.52 | 2 | 0.60 |
| 17 May | vs Portland Timbers | 90 | 1 | 1.67 | 1 | 0.20 |
| 13 May | at Cincinnati | 90 | 2 | 0.71 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 09 May | at Toronto | 90 | 1 | 0.65 | 2 | 0.40 |
| 02 May | vs Orlando City | 90 | 1 | 0.30 | 1 | 0.50 |
| 25 Apr | vs New England | 90 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 23 Apr | at Real Salt Lake | 90 | 0 | 0.88 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 18 Apr | at Colorado Rapids | 90 | 2 | 0.99 | 0 | 0.10 |