Expected goals

Ollie Watkins — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) across the last 9 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Ollie Watkins got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

Back to Ollie Watkins

xG

5.83

vs 8 goals

xA

0.80

vs 2 assists

xG / 90

0.74

xA / 90

0.10

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
24 Mayat Manchester City9021.340
15 Mayvs Liverpool9021.4010.10
10 Mayat Burnley9010.230
03 Mayvs Tottenham Hotspur3000.0300.10
25 Aprat Fulham8100.2800.10
19 Aprvs Sunderland8021.3610.30
12 Aprat Nottingham Forest8700.1600.10
22 Marvs West Ham United8710.8500.10
04 Marvs Chelsea7100.180
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Ollie Watkins profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.