Expected goals

Max Nilsson — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Max Nilsson (Fredrikstad) across the last 2 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Max Nilsson got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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