Expected goals

Romelu Lukaku — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for Romelu Lukaku (Belgium) across the last 7 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Romelu Lukaku got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

1.73

vs 3 goals

xA

0.75

vs 0 assists

xG / 90

0.42

xA / 90

0.18

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
21 Junvs Iran7300.050
15 Junvs Egypt2400.250
28 Febat Hellas Verona1710.1300.20
25 Janat Juventus1100.220
23 Mayvs Cagliari7610.4800.33
18 Mayat Parma8000.1600.10
11 Mayvs Genoa9010.4400.11
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full Romelu Lukaku profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.