Expected goals

João Carvalho — xG and xA

Underlying expected output for João Carvalho (Estoril) across the last 9 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances João Carvalho got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.

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xG

0.80

vs 0 goals

xA

1.40

vs 2 assists

xG / 90

0.09

xA / 90

0.16

DateOpponentMinGxGAxA
16 Mayvs Benfica90000.40
10 Mayat Alverca9000.080
03 Mayat Sporting Braga90000.10
26 Aprvs Famalicão9000.0200.20
12 Aprvs Porto9000.210
06 Aprat Arouca6500.0210.20
22 Marvs Rio Ave9000.0600.30
15 Marat Nacional7800.3410.10
27 Febat Sporting CP9000.0500.10
Source: Understat per-shot xG model. Full João Carvalho profile adds AI-authored context, last-5 ratings, sidelined timeline, and upcoming fixtures.