Expected goals
Paul Nebel — xG and xA
Underlying expected output for Paul Nebel (FSV Mainz 05) across the last 10 matches with Understat coverage. xG / xA are per-shot probability sums — they tell you what an average finisher would have scored from the chances Paul Nebel got. Sustained over/underperformance versus xG is the single most predictive form signal in football analytics.
xG
2.89
vs 4 goals
xA
1.70
vs 1 assists
xG / 90
0.31
xA / 90
0.18
| Date | Opponent | Min | G | xG | A | xA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | at Heidenheim | 90 | 0 | 0.37 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 10 May | vs FC Union Berlin | 70 | 0 | 0.18 | 1 | 0.20 |
| 03 May | at St. Pauli | 90 | 0 | — | 0 | 0.10 |
| 25 Apr | vs FC Bayern München | 85 | 1 | 0.55 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 19 Apr | at Borussia Mönchengladbach | 76 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 12 Apr | vs SC Freiburg | 74 | 0 | — | 0 | 0.20 |
| 04 Apr | at TSG Hoffenheim | 87 | 0 | 0.59 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 22 Mar | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 90 | 2 | 0.55 | 0 | — |
| 15 Mar | at Werder Bremen | 90 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 07 Mar | vs VfB Stuttgart | 90 | 0 | 0.35 | 0 | 0.40 |